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7-25-2015
07-23-2015, 03:08 PM (This post was last modified: 07-26-2015 01:02 AM by Romulus9.)
Post: #1
7-25-2015
İmage

İmage


RESULTS:
Romulus9 -- +54,490
TheTeddyBear -- -8,730
BrutalBodyShots -- +32,400
JONdaCON -- -1,855.68
gravytrain -- +1,505
and the NEW -- +8,100
Spyder -- +2,860
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07-24-2015, 12:36 AM (This post was last modified: 07-25-2015 02:54 PM by Romulus9.)
Post: #2
RE: 7-25-2015
2000 on Beibut Shumenov to win @ 1.40
2000 on Jean Pascal to win @ 1.28
4000 on Nick Blackwell to win @ 1.22
5000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in rounds 1-6 @ 1.57
20000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in rounds 1-3 @ 2.62
15000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in rounds 4-6 @ 3.40
6000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 1 @ 8.00
6000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 2 @ 7.00
6000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 3 @ 6.50
6000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 4 @ 7.00
4000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 5 @ 10.00
4000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in round 6 @ 10.00
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07-24-2015, 11:01 AM
Post: #3
RE: 7-25-2015
Odds question for you Rom. A few of the bets you listed like Shumenov @ 1.4, Pascal @ 1.28 but then Kovalev in rounds 1-6 you listed it as @ 0.57? Should that be 1.57 or should the others be 0.4, 0.28 etc?
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07-24-2015, 12:14 PM
Post: #4
RE: 7-25-2015
5k on Flores anyway possible

1k on Kovalev being upset

3k on Kovalev ko 1

İmage

"Weapons are forged by being pushed beyond their limits eventually breaking what they currently are to be molded into the killing machines they will soon become" -TeddyBear- remember that shit[/i][/b][/font]
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07-24-2015, 12:18 PM
Post: #5
RE: 7-25-2015
(07-24-2015 11:01 AM)BrutalBodyShots Wrote:  Odds question for you Rom. A few of the bets you listed like Shumenov @ 1.4, Pascal @ 1.28 but then Kovalev in rounds 1-6 you listed it as @ 0.57? Should that be 1.57 or should the others be 0.4, 0.28 etc?

I made a typo.

Fixed it.
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07-24-2015, 06:24 PM
Post: #6
RE: 7-25-2015
1000 on Sergey Kovalev to win in rounds 4-6 @ 3.40
1000 on Flores @ 2.8

Everything else on KOV to win.
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07-24-2015, 07:23 PM
Post: #7
RE: 7-25-2015
1000 Fury
2000 Pascal
1000 Shumenov
6000 Kovalev
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07-25-2015, 04:16 AM
Post: #8
RE: 7-25-2015
FYI, anyone looking to play Kovalev in rounds 1-6, it makes more sense to eliminate that bet and split that wager $ equally between rounds 1-3 and 4-6 in 2 separate bets. The payout if you hit either would be at least 40% more.

Example: You bet $1000 on Kovalev in rounds 1-6 and hit it you make $570.

If you split that $1000 and go $500 on Kovalev in rounds 1-3 and $500 on him in 4-6, if the KO comes in 1-3 you'll net $810 ($1310-$500) and if it comes in 4-6 you'll net $1200 ($1700-$500).


That said, give me...

$20k on Kovalev in rounds 1-3
$20k on Kovalev in rounds 4-6
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07-25-2015, 06:31 AM (This post was last modified: 07-25-2015 06:40 AM by and the NEW.)
Post: #9
RE: 7-25-2015
5k Kovalev 1-3.
5k Kovalev 4-6.

This guy has been stopped twice previously and Kovalev hits like a truck and is on a completely different level. I can't see this going past 6.

Brutal, your maths is a little out.

If you bet 500 on each, you still have to deduct 1000 off of the winnings. So 1-3 you net 310 and 4-6 you net 700. Whereas 1-6 you net 570.

You had me excited for a minute there, I thought their algorithms were throwing up statistical arbitrage opportunities.
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07-25-2015, 10:57 AM
Post: #10
RE: 7-25-2015
Are you sure about that? With a line of 1.57 the "1" I always took as you getting back the risked money. The risked money in a bet is only lost if you lose the bet. So, if you are wagering $1000 ($500 x 2 outcomes) and either outcome hits you lose the $500 from the outcome that didn't hit but don't lose it from the other.

So if you bet $500 at 1.57, you can look at it as $500 x 1.57 = $785 but you "lose" the $500 bet, so you net $285, or you can multiply the $500 x 0.57 to see how much you win just "risking", but not losing your wager for that outcome.

Does that make sense?
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